13:42 13Dec05 Commerce dept's monthly monthly retail sales Wednesday, December 14, 2005 10:05:09 PM (GMT-06:00) Provided by: Reuters News 13:42 13Dec05 Commerce dept's monthly monthly retail sales This report is WebGrabbed from the US Government WEB site FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TUESDAY, DECEMBER 13, 2005, AT 8:30 A.M. EST Scott Scheleur / Judy Ross Davis CB05-173 Service Sector Statistics Division (301) 763-2713 ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL TRADE AND FOOD SERVICES NOVEMBER 2005 The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $353.9 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (0.7%)* from the previous month and up 6.3 percent (0.8%) from November 2004. Total sales for the September through November 2005 period were up 6.3 percent (0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The September to October 2005 percent change was revised from -0.1 percent (0.7%)* to +0.3 percent (0.2%). Retail trade sales were up 0.2 percent (0.8%)* from October and were up 6.1 percent (0.8%) above last year. Gasoline station sales were up 16.8 percent (3.3%) from November 2004 and sales of building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were up 14.5 percent (2.0%) from last year. The scheduled release dates for 2006 are as follows: January 13, February 14, March 14, April 13, May 11, June 13, July 14, August 11, September 14, October 13, November 14, December 13. The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication. Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales (Estimates adjusted for seasonal variation, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes) The Advance Monthly Retail Sales Report for December is scheduled to be released January 13, 2006 at 8:30 a.m. EST. For information, visit the Census Bureau's Web site at . This report is also available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's STAT-USA (202-482-1986). * The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero. TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2005 Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2) (In Millions of dollars) 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 NAICS(1) Kind of Business Nov(3) Oct Sep Nov Oct Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 353,866 352,960 351,802 333,002 332,904 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 280,502 281,434 279,319 258,161 256,295 Retail ....................................... 318,928 318,334 317,487 300,717 300,569 GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 90,678 89,620 85,359 85,180 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 73,364 71,526 72,483 74,841 76,609 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 67,186 65,411 66,410 69,116 70,913 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 9,226 9,250 9,352 8,695 8,716 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,570 8,530 8,475 7,996 7,930 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,956 6,917 6,419 6,370 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,574 1,558 1,577 1,560 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 29,419 28,861 28,343 25,703 25,631 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 25,528 25,077 22,684 22,569 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 44,439 44,280 44,036 42,232 41,949 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 39,624 39,548 39,325 37,942 37,695 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,895 2,885 2,688 2,699 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 18,611 18,408 18,472 17,392 17,346 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 15,654 15,684 14,894 14,855 447 Gasoline stations................................ 33,631 35,742 35,952 28,805 28,012 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 17,213 17,181 16,739 16,040 16,127 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 827 808 818 808 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,176 3,139 2,972 3,038 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,134 2,059 1,948 1,994 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 6,808 6,849 6,712 6,675 6,672 452 General merchandise stores....................... 45,576 45,509 44,997 42,718 42,518 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 18,065 17,977 17,697 18,008 18,043 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 27,532 27,300 24,710 24,475 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 24,036 23,813 21,375 21,182 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,496 3,487 3,335 3,293 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,644 9,734 9,648 9,287 9,047 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 22,427 22,464 22,278 20,333 20,012 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 13,995 13,770 12,689 12,554 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 34,938 34,626 34,315 32,285 32,335 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html (3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532). (5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals. TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2005 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 11 month total % Chg. 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2005 from Nov(2) Oct Sep Nov Oct Code 2004 (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 3,766,631 7.4 351,267 345,316 342,202 330,108 325,699 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,926,354 8.4 286,371 279,708 270,600 263,375 255,412 Retail ....................................... 3,395,678 7.4 318,146 310,378 308,436 299,470 292,750 GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 87,286 82,268 93,285 82,355 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 840,277 4.0 64,896 65,608 71,602 66,733 70,287 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 773,551 3.7 58,922 59,524 65,547 61,237 64,602 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 48,821 54,061 51,984 54,522 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,084 6,055 5,496 5,685 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 97,584 5.0 10,139 9,176 9,221 9,573 8,699 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,929 5,034 5,078 4,756 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,247 4,187 4,495 3,943 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 86,442 6.1 9,530 7,748 7,797 8,873 7,250 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,226 6,239 7,247 5,746 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,522 1,558 1,626 1,504 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 306,904 10.0 28,276 29,169 28,686 24,733 25,775 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 26,319 26,155 22,457 23,246 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 473,288 4.9 44,310 43,783 43,320 41,782 41,835 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 424,788 4.4 39,466 39,192 38,774 37,487 37,657 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,875 2,850 2,752 2,712 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 197,023 6.1 18,183 18,021 17,807 17,044 17,016 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 15,419 15,182 14,611 14,662 447 Gasoline stations................................ 355,906 21.4 32,319 37,493 37,210 27,624 29,329 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 171,172 5.9 18,519 16,537 15,016 17,210 15,558 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 819 722 905 811 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,138 2,991 3,109 3,011 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 6,524 5,674 6,944 6,084 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,034 1,872 1,860 1,894 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 69,145 1.5 7,516 6,041 6,256 7,342 5,978 452 General merchandise stores....................... 465,424 6.4 50,266 44,536 40,658 46,925 41,707 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 183,744 -0.2 21,151 17,400 15,468 20,760 17,447 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 17,568 15,619 21,003 17,654 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 27,136 25,190 26,165 24,260 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 23,724 22,003 22,486 21,013 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,412 3,187 3,679 3,247 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 102,134 6.0 9,755 9,639 9,562 9,421 8,997 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 230,379 11.7 24,437 22,627 21,301 22,210 20,319 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 13,855 13,247 13,945 12,516 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 370,953 7.0 33,121 34,938 33,766 30,638 32,949 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532). (4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals. TABLE 2. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2005 Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.) Nov Oct 2005 2005 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct Code 2005 2004 2005 2004 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.3 +6.3 +0.3 +6.0 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -0.3 +8.7 +0.8 +9.8 Retail .................................. +0.2 +6.1 +0.3 +5.9 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +2.6 -2.0 -1.3 -6.6 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +2.7 -2.8 -1.5 -7.8 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.3 +6.1 -1.1 +6.1 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.5 +7.2 +0.6 +7.6 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +1.9 +14.5 +1.8 +12.6 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.4 +5.2 +0.6 +5.6 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.2 +4.4 +0.6 +4.9 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +1.1 +7.0 -0.3 +6.1 447 Gasoline stations................................ -5.9 +16.8 -0.6 +27.6 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.2 +7.3 +2.6 +6.5 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -0.6 +2.0 +2.0 +2.7 452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.1 +6.7 +1.1 +7.0 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.5 +0.3 +1.6 -0.4 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -0.9 +3.8 +0.9 +7.6 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -0.2 +10.3 +0.8 +12.3 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.9 +8.2 +0.9 +7.1 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1 of this report. Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. Nov Oct 2005 2005 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct Code 2005 2004 2005 2004 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.7 +6.4 +0.9 +6.0 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +2.4 +8.7 +3.4 +9.5 Retail .................................. +2.5 +6.2 +0.6 +6.0 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -1.1 -2.8 -8.4 -6.7 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -1.0 -3.8 -9.2 -7.9 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +10.5 +5.9 -0.5 +5.5 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +23.0 +7.4 -0.6 +6.9 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -3.1 +14.3 +1.7 +13.2 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +1.2 +6.1 +1.1 +4.7 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.7 +5.3 +1.1 +4.1 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.9 +6.7 +1.2 +5.9 447 Gasoline stations................................ -13.8 +17.0 +0.8 +27.8 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +12.0 +7.6 +10.1 +6.3 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +24.4 +2.4 -3.4 +1.1 452 General merchandise stores....................... +12.9 +7.1 +9.5 +6.8 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +21.6 +1.9 +12.5 -0.3 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +1.2 +3.5 +0.8 +7.1 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +8.0 +10.0 +6.2 +11.4 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -5.2 +8.1 +3.5 +6.0 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1 of this report. Note: Table 3 provides estimated measures of sampling variability. Additional information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, sample design, and definitions may be found at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--NOVEMBER 2005 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713. Survey Description The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey (MARTS) to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the United States. Each month, questionnaires are mailed to a probability sample of approximately 5,000 employer firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS). Firms responding to MARTS account for approximately 65% of the total national sales estimate. Advance sales estimates are computed using a link relative estimator. The change in sales from the previous month is estimated using only units that have reported data for both the current and previous month. There is no imputation or adjustment for nonrespondents in MARTS. The total sales estimate is derived by multiplying this ratio by the preliminary sales estimate for the previous month (derived from the larger MRTS sample). Detailed industry estimates are summed to derive total estimates at broad industry levels. The monthly estimates are adjusted using annual survey estimates and for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences. Additional information on MARTS and MRTS can be found on the Census Bureau website at: http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html. Reliability of Estimates Because the estimates presented in this report are based on a sample survey, they contain sampling error and nonsampling error. Sampling error is the difference between the estimate and the result that would be obtained from a complete enumeration of the sampling frame conducted under the same survey conditions. This error occurs because only a subset of the entire sampling frame is measured in a sample survey. Standard errors and coefficients of variation (CV), as given in Table 3 of this report, are estimated measures of sampling variation. The margin of sampling error, as used on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is 90-percent confidence interval. If, for example, the percent change estimate is +1.2 percent and its estimated standard error is 0.9 percent, then the margin of sampling error is 1.65 x 0.9 percent or 1.5 percent, and the 90 percent confidence interval is -0.3 percent to +2.7 percent. If the interval contains 0, then one does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude at the 90 percent confidence level that the change is different from zero and therefore the change is not statistically significant. Estimated changes shown in the text are statistically significant unless otherwise noted. For a monthly total, the median estimated coefficient of variation is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value 1.65 x CV x (the estimated monthly total). The Census Bureau recommends that individuals using estimates in this report incorporate this information into their analyses, as sampling error could affect the conclusions drawn from the estimates. Nonsampling error encompasses all other factors that contribute to the total error of a sample survey estimate. This type of error can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, mistakes in the recording and coding of data, and other errors of collection, response, coverage, or processing. Although nonsampling error is not measured directly, the Census Bureau employs quality control procedures throughout the process to minimize this type of error. (1) Estimated measures of sampling variability are based on estimates not adjusted for seasonal variation, or holiday, or trading-day differences. Medians are based on estimates for the most recent 12 months. (2) These columns provide measures of the difference between the advance-to-preliminary and preliminary-to-final estimates of month-to-month change for the same pair of months as measured by the Advance sample and MRTS sample. The average and median differences are based on estimates for the most recent 12 months. Note: Additional information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, sample design, and definitions may be found at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html 3rd Quarter 2005 Retail E-Commerce Sales Source: U. S. Census Bureau Service Sector Statistics Division Census Bureau Links: Home Search Subjects A-Z FAQs Data Tools Catalog Census 2000 Quality Privacy Policy Contact Us (C) Reuters 2005. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. 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